Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe v. … Pollsters also asked about the impact of the U.S. That’s within the poll’s margin of error. Pollsters found that 47 percent said they would vote for DeSantis while 45 percent would back Trump. … Republican voters in Florida are nearly evenly split between DeSantis and former President Donald Trump in a 2024 matchup. Val Demings is leading Rubio 48 percent to 44 percent…. Marco Rubio and Rick Scott also have low job approval ratings of just 37 percent. Only 38 percent approve of the job he is doing. President Joe Biden’ s approval rating remains seriously underwater in Florida. DeSantis’ approval rating dropped from a previous rating of 58 percent to 50 percent…. Translation: If you expect a red wave Republican year, then DeSantis’ lead is likely even larger. This is notable especially since the entire poll was nearly evenly broken by party affiliation, with 36 percent Republicans answering as opposed to 35 percent who were Democrats.
Ron DeSantis was ahead in head-to-head matchups with either Democratic challenger.īy the numbers - Pollsters found that DeSantis had a 50 percent to 43 percent lead over Fried and a 50 percent to 42 percent lead over Crist. CAMPAIGN MODEĭESANTIS STILL LEADS - While the Fried-Crist numbers are the biggest takeaway from the UNF poll, there were a few other numbers worth noting, including that incumbent Gov. The program will feature a Member Exchange panel followed by a keynote discussion exploring the most pressing issues facing women in their communities and women in leadership roles who are best positioned to solve these problems. 15 for conversations focused on creating and leading sustainable, healthy and inclusive communities. Have a tip, story, suggestion, birthday, anniversary, new job, or any other nugget for Playbook? Get in touch: Ī WOMEN RULE CONVERSATION ON LEADING FROM THE GROUND UP: Join POLITICO’s Women Rule on Sept. DeSantis is holding a press conference in New Port Richey with Education Commissioner Manny Diaz. Between public polls and our own internal polls, Nikki Fried at this stage of the race has no path to victory barring a black swan event,” asserted Samantha Ramirez, a spokeswoman for the Crist campaign. Response - “The UNF poll is clearly an outlier. That poll – which had a margin of error rate of plus/minus 4.2 percent – maintained Crist was dominating with voters who had already cast ballots as well as older voters, Black voters and those in key areas such as Orlando and Tampa. Rebuttal - The Crist campaign late Monday night released its own internal poll from Change Research that had the race with 47 percent for Crist and 37 percent for Fried – a starkly different finding. Wade changed the make-up of this race, and has particularly energized women that are almost 20 points more likely to vote for her.” “It’s possible that the overturning of Roe v. That places Fried outside the poll’s margin of error of plus/minus 3.4 percent.Īssessment - “Fried seems to have reversed the eight-point lead that Crist had when we asked registered Democrats about vote choice in February,” said Michael Binder, director of the opinion lab and a UNF professor of political science. And the Crist campaign – which got wind of the UNF findings a few hours before they were publicly released – released its own internal poll that said showed Crist with a comfortable 10 point lead.įindings - But the UNF poll – which was taken of likely primary voters and conducted online – found that 47 percent said they would vote for Fried while 43 percent said they were backing Crist. Charlie Crist has shifted and Fried now holds a slight lead with a week left to go.īreaking the trend - Yes, this poll does not reflect the same findings as other polls that have been taken in this race. 23 Democratic primary between Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried and Rep. Something different - A new public poll just released by the Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida contends that the Aug.
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